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Gartner Forecasts 2026 Memory Market Size to Exceed 2025 Total Semiconductor Revenue

Bubble signal: +1 · Overheating evidenceRelevance 75Chips & ComputeGlobal
Source: IT Home · Published 2026-08-25

Summary

Gartner forecasts the memory market will reach $837.3 billion in 2026, surpassing the total semiconductor revenue of $809 billion in 2025, a year-over-year increase of 280.4%. Memory's share of semiconductor revenue will double from 27% to 54%, a trend expected to continue through at least 2027. Global semiconductor revenue is projected to hit $1.5552 trillion in 2026, up 92% year-over-year, and grow another 24.7% in 2027.

Bubble analysis

The memory market surging 280% in a year, far outpacing overall semiconductor revenue growth, shows AI-driven chip demand is inflating rapidly, potentially leading to oversupply and overheated investment, which is key evidence for the bubble thesis.

#semiconductor#memory#gartner#ai-datacenter
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